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Smoke & Soccer Passing to Shot Efficiency Scores


PwP Scores                                                      Passes that Score metric to be used for Match of the Week Analysis                                                                *Featured Match of the Week:  Chelsea vs Hull                                                                                                                                                              


WEEK 4 Matches

1. Bournemouth - 4.03

     Brentford - 2.01

2. Aston Villa - 1.47

     Nottingham Forest - 5.85

3. Chelsea - 2.17                                                     (3+4)7 passes = 2 goals/ Direct & Transitional

     Hull - 5.05                                                              (2+3)5 passes = 2 goals /Direct                  

4. Crystal Palace - 2.98                                               

     Ipswich - 2.60

5. Liverpool - 2.83

     Fulham - 2.54

6. Everton - 3.41

     Tottenham - 2.19

7. Sunderland - 4.25

    Arsenal - 2.83

8. Coventry - 5.69

     Brighton - 3.86

9. Manchester United - 3.39

     Manchester City - 1.52

10. Leeds - 3.50

        Newcastle - 1.68


Passing to Shot Efficiency

Passes with Purpose Metric  


Elite: ≥ 4.0

Strong: 3.0–3.9

Average: 1.5–2.9

Passive: 0.6–1.4 

Sterile: < 0.6


Passes that Score Metric

  

1–3 passes: Direct

4–7 passes: Transitional

8–12 passes: Constructed

13+ passes: Positional Mastery

  

Smoke & Soccer Metric: PwP + PTS System

1. Passes with Purpose

Macro metric: How efficient a team is with all passes.

2. Passes That Score

Micro metric: How many passes directly built the goal.


Smoke & Soccer Passing to Shot Efficiency Scores


PwP Scores                                                      Passes that Score metric to be used for Match of the Week Analysis                                                                *Featured Match of the Week:  BRIGHTON vs LEEDS                                                                                                                                                              


WEEK 3 Matches

1. Liverpool - 1.91 / 2  (Scored 2 goals in 10 minutes of 1st Half)

     Ipswich - 3.27 / 0

2. Newcastle - 1.80

     Bournemouth - 5.18

3. Brentford - 2.89

     Sunderland - 3.27                                       

4. Brighton - 4.09                                                  1 Corner kick + header = goal / Direct

     Leeds - 4.20                                                        5 passes = goal / Transitional

5. Fulham - 3.75

     Crystal Palace - 2.76 

6. Man City - 1.875

     Coventry - 5.55

7. Nottingham Forest - 3.85

    Tottenham - 2.7

8. Hull - 4.89

     Aston Villa - 1.97

9. Everton - 4.28

     Manchester United - 2.67

10. Arsenal - 3.5

        Chelsea - 3.43


Passing to Shot Efficiency

Passes with Purpose Metric  


Elite: ≥ 4.0

Strong: 3.0–3.9

Average: 1.5–2.9

Passive: 0.6–1.4 

Sterile: < 0.6


Passes that Score Metric

  

1–3 passes: Direct

4–7 passes: Transitional

8–12 passes: Constructed

13+ passes: Positional Mastery

  

Smoke & Soccer Metric: PwP + PTS System

1. Passes with Purpose

Macro metric: How efficient a team is with all passes.

2. Passes That Score

Micro metric: How many passes directly built the goal.


Smoke & Soccer Passing to Shot Efficiency Scores


PwP Scores                                                      Passes that Score metric to be used for Match of the Week Analysis                                                                Featured Match of the Week:  Tottenham vs Newcastle                                                                                                                                                                


PL Table

1. Brighton - 2.39

2. Arsenal - 1.33

3. Brentford - 5.275

4. Everton - 4.17

5. Hull - 2.29

6. Chelsea - 7.8                                       

7. Ipswich 2.51

8. Manchester City - 2.31 (1st H = 3.4; 2nd H = 1.5) 

9. Leeds - 3.29

10. Liverpool - 2.08

11. Newcastle - 3.03                                             5 passes, corner kick & 1 pass = 2 goals on 7 passes = Transitional

12. Fulham - 1.96

13. Bournemouth - 3.82

14. Sunderland - 3.05

15. Nottingham Forest - 4.3

16. Crystal Palace - 3.2 (1st H = 4.6; 2nd H = 1.55)

17. Manchester United - 6.04

18. Coventry City - 1.03

19. Tottenham - 3.47                                                    0 goals on 490 passes = NO PASSES THAT SCORE

20. Aston Villa - 2.077


Passing to Shot Efficiency

Passes with Purpose Metric  


Elite: ≥ 4.0

Strong: 3.0–3.9

Average: 1.5–2.9

Passive: 0.6–1.4 

Sterile: < 0.6


Passes that Score Metric

  

1–3 passes: Direct

4–7 passes: Transitional

8–12 passes: Constructed

13+ passes: Positional Mastery

  

Smoke & Soccer Metric: PwP + PTS System

1. Passes with Purpose

Macro metric: How efficient a team is with all passes.

2. Passes That Score

Micro metric: How many passes directly built the goal.


Smoke & Soccer Passing to Shot Efficiency Scores


PwP Scores                                                      Passes that Score metric to be used for Match of the Week Analysis                                                                                                                                               


1. Manchester City - 2.03

2. Arsenal - 3.26

3. Liverpool - 6.136

4. Newcastle - 4.43

5. Tottenham - 1.72

6. Chelsea - 4.6                                        2 passes, 7 passes & 6 Passes = 3 goals 15 passes = Positional Mastery

7. Aston Villa - 2.5

8. Manchester United - 3.05

9. Brighton - 3.29

10. Brentford - 7.34

11. Crystal Palace - 1.92

12. Fulham - 2.26                                    32 passes & 16 passes = 2 goals 48 passes = Ultra Positional Mastery

13. Bournemouth - 1.5

14. Leeds United - 3.38

15. Everton - 3.87

16. Nottingham Forest - 3.06

17. Hull City - 3.16

18. Coventry City - 1.18

19. Ipswich Town - 3.07

20. Sunderland - 2


Passing to Shot Efficiency

Passes with Purpose Metric  


Elite: ≥ 4.0

Strong: 3.0–3.9

Average: 1.5–2.9

Passive: 0.6–1.4 

Sterile: < 0.6


Passes that Score Metric

  

1–3 passes: Direct

4–7 passes: Transitional

8–12 passes: Constructed

13+ passes: Positional Mastery

  

Smoke & Soccer Metric: PwP + PTS System

1. Passes with Purpose

Macro metric: How efficient a team is with all passes.

2. Passes That Score

Micro metric: How many passes directly built the goal.


Premiere League Began August 21, 2026

Welcome to Smoke and Soccer!

SMOKE & SOCCER PODCAST @ SPOTIFY


EARLY SEASON RANKINGS:

Brisket Teams (Top Contenders)

1. Manchester City - Prime Brisket - 97*

2. Arsenal - Competition Brisket - 92*

3. Liverpool - Spicy Brisket - 88*

4. Newcastle - Heavy Brisket - 86*

5. Tottenham - Lean Brisket - 81*

6. Chelsea - Unpredictable Brisket - 76*


Rib Teams (Mid-Table Mix)

7. Aston Villa - Championship Ribs - 74*

8. Manchester United - Over-Sauced Ribs - 72*

9. Brighton - Sweet Glazed Ribs - 70*

10. Brentford - Balanced Ribs - 69*

11. Crystal Palace - Sticky Ribs - 67*

12. Fulham - Charred Ribs - 63*

13. Bournemouth - Spicy Ribs - 62*

14. Leeds United - Comeback Ribs - 61*


Pork Butt Teams (Relegation Battlers)

15. Everton - Tough Pork Butt - 58*

16. Nottingham Forest - Chaotic Pork Butt - 55*

17. Hull City - Fresh Pork Butt - 52*

18. Coventry City - Hungry Pork Butt - 50*

19. Ipswick Town - Surprising Pork Butt - 49*

20. Sunderland - Gritty Pork Butt - 48*

Key: 55* = Smoke Index of 55

Best Matchup of the Week

August 24: Fulham vs Chelsea


 This  match feels like a momentum vs talent matchup.


  • Fulham have rhythm, home advantage, and tactical stability.
  • Chelsea have higher ceiling, returning key players, and a “new era” energy with Rosenior incoming.


Expect a tight, physical match where the midfield battle (Caicedo/Enzo vs Reed/Berge) decides control. A draw or narrow Chelsea win aligns with the predictive models, but Fulham’s form makes an upset very plausible.


Score Prediction: Chelsea 2 Fulham 1


Check Back for Post-Match Analysis Aug 24

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